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The Precious Metals Stocks Suppressed Due The Recovery Of The S&P500


In today’s modern world of investment opportunities there are a myriad of attractions for an investors hard earned funds. There are pros and cons for each one of them and sooner or later they all have their day in the sun. Investments on offer include but are not limited to; currencies, real estate, land, art, antiques, bonds, stocks, coins, various funds, crypto currencies, etc.

Our particular interest is the precious metals mining sector which unfortunately has been battered over the last five or six years and remains very much in the unwanted category. However, we could argue that "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." A saying that is attributed to Baron Rothschild, a member of the Rothschild banking family. He made a fortune by investing in the uncertainty that followed the Battle of Waterloo against France, when his peers where disposing of their holdings. Is the precious metals sector bleeding at the moment? we don’t think so, but this sector is most certainly close to it and worthy of further consideration.

The Gold Bugs Index (HUI) Chart

The chart below shows that there is strong resistance at the 180 level and despite a number of attempts to breakout the precious metals mining stocks have failed to do so. The technical indicators such as the MACD and the STO are in the oversold zone with the RSI sitting just above the 30 level which is regarded by some technicians as a buy signal should the stocks drop below this level.


The recent sell-off from 180 to 150 wiped 16% of the value of this index......... READ MORE


The sudden drop in the S&P 500 had an immediate impact on gold as it jumped $12.00 or so. The trade war between China and the US has made the markets nervous..

If you would like to know which stocks we are buying and selling please join us atStock Trader our premium investment service.

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Top 10 lowest cost gold mines on the globe

In 2018, global gold mining companies' average all-in sustaining costs (AISC) fell 6% across the board as miners reacted to a gold price in steady decline for most of the year.

Click to read more ...


World's Monetary Reserves and the End of an Era


Hugo Salinas Price

We had been observing the evolution of the total of Central Bank Monetary Reserves for several years, and noted a peak on August 2, 2014, when these Reserves reached a maximum of the equivalent of $12.032 Trillion dollars, according to Bloomberg.

As of April, 2019, a review of Central Bank Monetary Reserves, according to Bloomberg, yields some interesting information.

In August 2014, the dollar amount of CB Monetary Reserves was, as we just said, $12.032 Trillion dollars, and as of April 19, 2019, CB Monetary Reserves had fallen by $479 Billion dollars, to $11.553 Trillion dollars.

Click to read more ...


Gold Mining Stocks Remain Under Pressure From The Markets And The US Dollar


It is 8 months since we penned part 3 of this post when The Gold Bugs Index (HUI) stood at 135. Since then things have improved for the precious metal sector and the HUI had risen to a peak of 180. Alas since then some of the euphoria has dissipated as profits were too good to resist for some investors and so they so they capitalized on their gains and disposed of their holdings.

The HUI Chart

This chart shows the rally from September 2018 to February 2019 where it peaked at 180, however, it struggled to hold its ground and fell back to 160. The technical indicators show the stochastics on the floor, but,

Click to read more ...


Wheaton Precious Metals Corporation: On The Up


In 2010 we became big fans of the ‘streaming model’ and as it was known then Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) which has been very kind to us over the years. On the 8th September 2010 we penned a short piece entitled;

Silver Prices: Dare To Dream

A short snippet follows:

Now, remember if you don't have dreams, they can’t come true, so line up a few things that are unique in terms of dreams to you and then prepare the road map of how to achieve them. We won’t bore you with our dreams as they vary from the simplistic to the ridiculous. However, our road map consists of holding a core position in the physical metals along with a small list of mining stocks and some cash for trading purposes. At the moment we utilize the recommendations as stated in our premium options trading service to boost our returns along with the occasional more cavalier trade being posted on our sites.

In this instance our road map involves taking a spread of Call Options on our favourite stock, SLW, with the following purchases.

December 2010 $26.00 Calls @ $1.55

December 2010 $30.00 Calls @ $0.58

December 2010 $35.00 Calls @ $0.18

January 2011 $26.00 Calls @ $2.00

January 2011 $27.00 Calls @ $1.64

This trade was thought by some to be a bit of a stretch, however,

Click to read more ...


In The Event Of A Fiat Currency Collapse Would Gold Rocket? 


One of the reasons given for allocating a portion of one’s investment assets to the precious metals sector such as physical gold is that gold can be considered as an insurance policy against the devaluation of paper money. On my office wall I have framed various bank notes from an 'inflationary' period of time which include the following:

2,000,000 marks, Germany 1923

100,000,000 Pengos, Hungry 1946

5,000,000 Kwanza, Angola 1995

100,000,000,000,000 dollars, Zimbabwe 2008

These bank notes serve as a reminder that currencies can be devalued in dramatic fashion and eventually become worthless.

Click to read more ...


Gold is still a Dollar Play


It is been a very frustrating time for Gold Bugs as gold has been unable to break out above the $1350 level for the last 5 years.

The chart above shows the number of times gold has attempted this break out above this resistance level and has failed once again.

Click to read more ...


The US Dollar Recovers To Spook Gold


Since the last all-time high of $1900/Oz made in 2011 Gold Bugs have taken it on the chin as gold fell from grace resulting in many investors leaving this space in search of greener pastures. In recent years gold has levelled out and is indeed shaping up for a comeback as it once again eyes the near-term resistance level of $1350/Oz.

For many investors breaching this level

Click to read more ...


Gold To Obliterate The Resistance Level Of $1350/Oz 


It feels like a distance memory since gold traded at the heady heights of $1900/Oz, since then the bears have been in control and gold has been savaged along with the associated mining stocks.

However, since 2016 gold has been making somewhat of a comeback and is now trading close to $1350/Oz. This is a level that it has tried to pierce on 6 or more occasions and failed as each rally ran out of steam, they were head fakes disguised as a rally. This resistance level needs to be obliterated with some gusto and gold needs to find the traction to take out the next resistance level which is $1400/Oz before there is more or less a clear run to $1800/Oz and then new all-time highs of $2000/Oz and beyond for gold.

A quick look at the gold chart

The above chart shows the resistance

Click to read more ...


The Beaten Down Gold Sector Starts To Punch Back


We have long held the opinion that the fortunes of the precious metals sector is largely dependent on the action or lack of it by the Central Bankers. Of note is the Federal Reserve who have now taken their foot off the accelerator regarding rate hikes in the US. We have stated that we doubt that we will get any rate hikes this year and we might even get a rate cut as the Fed remains “data driven” and has adopted a dovish stance regarding monetary policy.

Central Bank actions regarding monetary policy

There are also other Central Bankers which we need to be aware of as their actions can contribute to the expansion or contraction of the money supply such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BOE), etc. On Tuesday the governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), Haruhiko Kuroda, gave notice that the central bank was ready to ramp up stimulus if sharp rises in the yen damaged the Japanese economy and undermined his strategy of achieving a 2% inflation target. As we all know money knows no boundaries and will migrate across borders in the blink of an eye. Inflating the money supply tends to weaken a currency and the Yen did fall on this news from the BOJ. It is difficult to make a direct correlation between the Yen weakening and gold prices rising but gold did trade higher following this piece of news.

On the horizon the president of the ECB, Mario Draghi and the governor of the BOE, Mark Carney, are soon to leave their posts. The loss of familiar faces creates a certain amount of uncertainty as we do not know who will replace them and what sort of strategy they will adopt when managing monetary policy. If the replacements are of a dovish disposition, then we would expect gold and silver to be the beneficiaries.

Gold Surges To 11 Month Highs

As we can see from the chart below gold has reacted positively since the golden crossover so we would now like to see gold prices get above the $1370.00/Oz level and settle there. The technical indicators remain in the overbought zone suggesting a near term pullback, but they could also stay there for some time before unwinding. Gold has rallied well since Labour Day and is gaining a tad more air time which is positive for gold bugs.


Gold Miners Are finally on the move

The precious metals stocks are now flirting......................

Click to read more ...