The following is a missive that we received from Jim Sinclair today, who is the host of a web site called Jim Sinclair's MineSet in our humble opinion its well worth the time spent on reading what he has to say. The above link will take to his site and his updates via email are free, so you have nothing to lose by signing up for them.
Please keep focused on the fact that the gold market of the 70s was simply a dress rehearsal. What is taking place right now is the real thing.
The supposed "Curse of 13" is behind you in the break from $1900 to close to $1500.
The reaction was stopped because the need and use for QE to infinity is real and present in time. There is no other tool in the lender of last resort to the entire Western World's toolbox other than QE which can be applied to create the degree of liquidity required to prevent a global implosion. No other tool can create infinite liquidity in a flash. There is no speculating on what might happen in the future. It has happened now.
Few are looking at dollar utilization falling in international contracting and settlement. That is a key element of 2012. The US dollar has enjoyed demand from settlement and contracting which it is now losing daily. Gold is gaining utilization as a competitive currency.
Enormous utilization was the blessing the dollar had when it was the reserve currency of choice. Utilization and settlement is falling fast as the dollar now is the reserve currency by default.
Very few have ever tried to quantify this serendipitous demand for the dollar. Allow me to assure you dollar utilization for these purposes is huge and extremely important to dollar valuation.
2012 is the year the dollar falls as a result of a significant drop in dollar contract and settlement utilization. Imagine the demand for gold as the dollar closes below the antiquated measure of .7200 on the redundant USDX. When this occurs you will be looking back at $2111 from higher levels.
Please keep in mind that this is not a dress rehearsal but rather the real thing. There is no practical means to handle the problems at hand. We are at the dead end of the road the can has been kicked down.
Volatility in gold is going to go wild so just keep your head down and hold your insurance close to your chest. The cheapest thing gold is the gold share with the most ounces versus its price.
Silver is a game, but one hell of a game. Another try by silver at $50 looks imminent.
Regarding www.skoptionstrading.com. We are off to a good start this year closing two trades in January, the first gave us a profit of 71.58% and the second gave us a profit of 33.97%.
It was nice to bag a couple of winners before January ended and hopefully 2012 will continue in a successful manner. We do have a number of ideas on the drawing board which we are looking to execute shortly, but only when the risk/reward environment is firmly in our favour.
Please be aware that discussions are taking place regarding an increase in the price for this service for new members. We have looked at about 100 similar services and the average cost for them is $866.00 per year. This price increase will not affect the current subscribers whose subscription will remain unchanged.
Our performance stats have now been updated as follows:
Our model portfolio is up 446.55% since inception
An annualized return of 98.38%
Average return per trade of 36.68%
96 completed trades, 88 closed at a profit
A success rate of 91.67%
Average trade open for 50.48 days
Also many thanks to those of you who have already joined us and for the very kind words that you sent us regarding the service so far, we hope that we can continue to put a smile on your faces.
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