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Gold Mining Stocks Still In Weak Hands (Part Two)


The Gold Bugs Index, the HUI closed at 138.98 recently as after umpteen tests of 180 level it finally failed, and the precious metal stocks went into freefall. Since the HUI peaked in 2011 at 630 it has fallen 77.93% (630-139) and this last month we witnessed a form of capitulation in this tiny sector of the market.

The underlying commodities of gold and silver have also fallen from grace having penetrated their upward trendlines via a vicious downswing in dramatic fashion.

As we wrote recently we need to reassess the recent movements with the view to deciding whether this is a buying opportunity, a time to hold or a time to ditch our stocks and run for cover.

There are many reasons for this capitulation in the precious metals sector that need to be considered, however, for today we will focus on what we believe is the main reason for the battering that sector is going through; the US Dollar

A Quick Look at The Charts of the HUI, Gold and the USD

The following charts of the US Dollar and gold show us that the inverse relationship between the gold and the dollar is alive and well.

First the chart of gold where we can see that golds upward trendline has been tested and failed in no uncertain manner. The technical indicators are firmly in the oversold zone with the RSI standing at 22.55 suggesting that a bounce is on the cards, however gold needs a spark, an ignition, some sort of catalyst in order to reverse its fortunes.


Next is the chart of the US Dollar where we can see that it has made good progress since May and has challenged the resistance level of 95 a number of times before finally making a breakthrough to trade close to the 97 level.



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