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« HIGH RIVER GOLD (HRG) - HRG Nord 2011 Year End Comparison | Main | A Golden Idea by Jim Sinclair »
Friday
Apr062012

What Happens to Gold if We Enter a Recession or Depression?

By Jeff Clark, Casey Research

Mayan prophecies aside, many of the senior Casey Research staff believe that economic, monetary, and fiscal pressures could come to a head this year. The massive buildup of global debt, continued reckless deficit spending, and the lack of sound political leadership to reverse either trend point to a potentially ugly tipping point. What happens to our investments if we enter another recession or – gulp – a depression?

Here's an updated snapshot of the gold price during each recession since 1955.

Clearly, one should not assume that gold will perform poorly during a recession. Even in the crash of 2008, gold still ended the year with a 5% gain. And with the amount of currency dilution we've undergone since that time, it seems more likely gold will rise in any economic contraction than fall. Indeed, if the response of government to a recession is more money printing, precious metals will be a critical asset to have in your possession.

Even if the gold price ends up flat or down this year, the CPI won't. Gold's enduring purchasing power is why we hold the metal.

How about gold stocks?

In spite of the debilitating 1970s that suffered from stagflation, price controls, three recessions, and the Vietnam war, gold producers rose over 600% while the S&P was basically flat. And that includes a roughly 65% fire-sale correction, much like we saw in 2008. To be clear, gold and silver stocks won't be immune to selloffs if a recession or worse temporarily clobbers our industry. But in the end, we're convinced they will prevail.

Don't lose patience with, or confidence in, your gold holdings. What happens to the price over any short period of time is only one chapter in the book of this bull market, and we think you'll be happy by the time that last chapter is written.

[If you have questions on how to invest in gold in the current market conditions you aren't alone. If you act fast, you can be among those who get to hear Jeff Clark discuss his thoughts and answer selected audience questions. The Gold Investing in 2012 and Beyond: Your Questions Answered! call is absolutely free – but you must sign up by midnight EDT on April 6.]

Regarding www.skoptionstrading.com. In 2011 we outperformed

Gold by 31%,

Silver by 41%,

S&P by 42%

HUI by 53%.

Our model portfolio is up 445.53% since inception

An annualized return of 91.38%

Average return per trade of 36.17%

97 completed trades, 88 closed at a profit

A success rate of 90.72%

There will be a price increase on the Sunday 8th April 2012, so if you thinking of joining a winning team, do it now and lock in a low price, there are only a few days remaining to take advantage of this offer.

The new fee structure is as follows:

$199.00 will be increased to $499.00 for 6 months

$349.00 will be increased to $799.00 for 12 months

We encourage you to do the due diligence and also to compare us with other services in order to satisfy yourself that this is indeed the right service for you.

Existing Subscribers should note that this increase will not apply to them and will only apply to new subscribers and that all of our current subscribers will continue to subscribe at the rate that they signed up for originally. So those who joined us when the subscription fee was $99.00 will continue to pay that very same $99.00. We hold rates for our existing subscribers as a reward to them for their loyalty to us, which we very much appreciate.

Also many thanks to those of you who have already joined us and for the very kind words that you sent us regarding the service so far, we hope that we can continue to put a smile on your faces.

To stay updated on our market commentary, which gold stocks we are buying and why, please subscribe to The Gold Prices Newsletter, completely FREE of charge. Simply click here and enter your email address. Winners of the GoldDrivers Stock Picking Competition 2007  

For those readers who are also interested in the silver bull market that is currently unfolding, you may want to subscribe to our  Free Silver Prices Newsletter.

For those readers who are also interested in the nuclear power sector you may want to subscribe to our Free Uranium Stocks Newsletter, just click here. 

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Reader Comments (2)

For us who work on the road, what is the usual time
window for trades? I personally can be as much as
16 hrs between trade access.
Thx
Capt Bill

April 7, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterCapt Bill

Capt Bill,

You could consider using one of the auto-trading services that we have mentioned on our website for people who are very busy and just don't have the time to place trades themselves.

April 9, 2012 | Registered CommenterGold Prices

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